Ohio: Further confirmation of a Kerry landslide

Ohio: Further confirmation of a Kerry landslide

TruthIsAll

On December 14, 2007, Bob Fitrakis & Harvey Wasserman reported that the Ohio Secretary of State confirmed that the 2004 election could have been stolen : “Ohio's Secretary of State announced this morning that a $1.9 million official study shows that "critical security failures" are embedded throughout the voting systems in the state that decided the 2004 election. Those failures, she says, "could impact the integrity of elections in the Buckeye State." They have rendered Ohio's vote counts "vulnerable" to manipulation and theft by "fairly simple techniques." Indeed, she says, "the tools needed to compromise an accurate vote count could be as simple as tampering with the paper audit trail connector or using a magnet and a personal digital assistant." In other words, Ohio's top election official has finally confirmed that the 2004 election could have been easily stolen”.
……

“The final official tally for Bush---less than 119,000 votes out of 5.4 million cast---varied by 6.7% from exit poll results, which showed a Kerry victory. Exit polls in 2004 were designed to have a margin of error of about 1%.

In various polling stations in Democrat-rich inner city precincts in Youngstown and Columbus, voters who pushed touch screens for Kerry saw Bush's name light up. A wide range of discrepancies on both electronic and paper balloting systems leaned almost uniformly toward the Bush camp. Voting procedures regularly broke down in inner city and campus areas known to be heavily Democratic.

In direct violation of standing federal election law, 56 of 88 Ohio counties have since destroyed all or part of their 2004 election data.”

_______________________________________________________________________________________________

Ohio Analytics

The Implausible Final Ohio Exit Poll: matched to a corrupt recorded vote

Kerry won the unadjusted (WPE) Ohio Exit Poll by 54.4-45.6% as well as the 12:22am adjusted Composite (1963 respondents) by 52.1-47.9%.

Bush won the 2:06pm Final Ohio exit poll (2020 respondents) by 50.9-49.1%. Vote shares and weights were adjusted to force a match to the recorded Ohio vote. The Final National Exit poll was also forced to match the recorded National vote. It’s Standard Operating Procedure.

If the 12:22am Ohio exit poll weightings had been used in the Final, it would have been necessary to inflate the Bush vote shares to implausible levels to match the recorded vote. So the weights were adjusted in favor of Bush to minimize the vote share inflation.

First-time Voters

Of the 14% who were first-time voters, 55% were for Kerry. Are we to believe that he won just 47% of the other 86%?

Bush Approval

On Election Day, Bush had an average 48.5% national approval rating (11-polls). In the 12:22am Ohio Exit Poll, the Bush Approval weighting was 51% (Kerry won by 50.1-49.9%). In the Final Ohio Exit Poll, the weighting was increased to 53% in order to force a match to the recorded vote (Bush won by 51.6-47.0%). Using 48.5% Bush approval, Kerry won by 52.3-47.7%, a 270,000 vote margin.

Size of Community

According to the 12:22am Ohio Exit Poll, Kerry won in the Big Cities by 50-49% - but Bush won Big Cities in the Final Exit Poll by 53-43%. Are we supposed to believe that Bush outpolled Kerry by 10% in large, traditionally Democratic urban locations such as Cleveland and Cincinnati?

When Decided

Of the 21% who decided in the month prior to the election, 62% voted for Kerry, compared to just 45% of the 79% who decided earlier. Not plausible. Did Bush lead by 10% in the pre-October polls?

Party ID

The weights changed from 38D/35R to 35D/40R, a 7.9% shift. With the original weights, Bush needed 17% of Democrats to match the recorded vote. He had 8%.

Ideology

Liberal/Conservative weights changed from 21/32 to 19/34, a 9.5% shift. With the original weights, Bush needed 23% of Liberals to match the recorded vote. He had 13%.

Voted for Senate

Democratic/Republican weights changed from 43/57 to 36/64, a 16.3% shift. With the original weights, Bush needed 14% of those who voted for the

Democrat. He had 7%.

Election Models: calculating the True Vote

1) Election Calculator: Kerry won by 54.1-45.9% (1.22% annual voter mortality; 5% uncounted in 2000)

2) True Vote: Kerry won by 51.5-48.5% (0.87% annual mortality; 2.74% uncounted in 2004)

3) Switched Vote: Kerry won by 53.3-46.7% (3% of total votes cast were uncounted; 6.8% switched )

Election Calculator

                 2000 Recorded                                       2004 Calculated

Voted    Actual   Unctd   Cast     Deaths   Alive            Turnout  Voted    Weight   Kerry    Bush

                                                             DNV      1.33     23.0%    60%      40%

Gore     2.19     0.18     2.37     0.12     2.25             95%      2.13     37.0%    93%      7%

Bush     2.35     0.05     2.40     0.11     2.29             95%      2.18     37.7%    11%      89%

Nader    0.14     0.01     0.15     0.01     0.14              95%      0.14     2.4%     75%      25%

Total    4.68     0.25     4.93     0.24     4.68             4.45     5.77     100%     54.1%    45.9%

                                                                               5.77     3.12     2.65

Sensitivity Analysis I

Effects of Gore share of uncounted votes and Gore voter turnout in 2004

Bush 2000 Turnout: 95%

Gore%            Gore Voter Turnout

Unctd    91%      93%      95%      97%      99%

                 Kerry Ohio Vote Share

85%      53.9%    54.1%    54.4%    54.7%    54.9%

80%      53.7%    54.0%    54.2%    54.5%    54.8%

75%      53.6%    53.8%    54.1%    54.3%    54.6%

70%      53.4%    53.7%    53.9%    54.2%    54.4%

65%      53.2%    53.5%    53.8%    54.0%    54.3%

                  Kerry Margin (mil)

85%      0.51     0.51     0.51     0.51     0.51

80%      0.49     0.49     0.49     0.49     0.49

75%      0.47     0.47     0.47     0.47     0.47

70%      0.45     0.45     0.45     0.45     0.45

65%      0.43     0.43     0.43     0.43     0.43

Sensitivity Analysis II

Effects of Kerry’s share of Gore and New voters

Kerry share of Bush 2000 voters: 11%

Kerry%    Kerry % of New voters (DNV in 2000)

Gore     56%      58%      60%      62%      64%

              Kerry Ohio Vote Share

97%      54.6%    55.1%    55.6%    56.0%    56.5%

95%      53.9%    54.4%    54.8%    55.3%    55.7%

93%      53.2%    53.6%    54.1%    54.5%    55.0%

91%      52.4%    52.9%    53.3%    53.8%    54.3%

89%      51.7%    52.1%    52.6%    53.1%    53.5%

                  Kerry Margin (mil)

97%      0.54     0.59     0.64     0.69     0.75

95%      0.45     0.50     0.56     0.61     0.66

93%      0.37     0.42     0.47     0.52     0.58

91%      0.28     0.33     0.39     0.44     0.49

89%      0.19     0.25     0.30     0.35     0.41

True Vote Model

         2000 Recorded (mil)                        2004 Calculated

Voted    Actual   Deaths   Alive            Turnout  Voted    Weight   Kerry    Bush

                                            DNV     1.31     23.4%    57%      43%

Gore     2.19     0.08     2.11             95%      2.00     35.7%    91%      9%

Bush     2.35     0.08     2.27             95%      2.16     38.6%    10%      90%

Nader    0.14     0.01     0.14             95%      0.13     2.4%     77%      23%

Total    4.68     0.16     4.52             4.29     5.60     100%     51.5%    48.5%

                                                             5.60     2.88     2.72

Uncounted and Switched Votes

                 Kerry    Bush

Actual            2.74    2.86

Uncounted        0.119    0.040

Switched          .208    -.208 (6.8% of True Vote)

True             3.07     2.69

Vote              53.3%   46.7%

Ohio 2004 Exit Poll

12:22am Composite

1963 respondents

MoE: 2.21%

--Probability--

CATEGORY Kerry Kerry Vote Dev

Kerry Bush Kerry Bush Margin Win 1 in

GENDER 52.06% 47.94% 2.934 2.701 0.232 96.6% 187

RACE/GENDER 51.76% 48.24% 2.917 2.718 0.198 94.1% 90

RACE 51.58% 48.42% 2.907 2.728 0.178 91.9% 60

AGE 51.39% 48.31% 2.896 2.722 0.174 89.1% 77

INCOME 52.40% 47.13% 2.953 2.656 0.297 98.3% 1862

EDUCATION 50.94% 48.77% 2.870 2.748 0.122 79.8% 29

PARTY ID 51.80% 47.57% 2.919 2.681 0.238 94.5% 504

IDEOLOGY 51.10% 48.90% 2.879 2.756 0.124 83.5% 23

VOTED BEFORE? 50.70% 49.30% 2.857 2.778 0.079 73.3% 11

RELIGION 50.96% 48.78% 2.872 2.749 0.123 80.3% 28

WHEN DECIDED 50.96% 48.94% 2.872 2.758 0.114 80.3% 21

SIZE 1 51.17% 48.45% 2.883 2.730 0.153 85.0% 56

SIZE 2 51.33% 48.67% 2.892 2.743 0.150 88.1% 35

REGION 51.57% 48.09% 2.906 2.710 0.196 91.8% 129

U.S.SENATE 51.96% 48.04% 2.928 2.707 0.221 95.9% 146

AVERAGE 51.36% 48.46% 2.894 2.731 0.163 88.6% 54

ACTUAL 48.71% 50.82% 2.740 2.859 -0.119 12.6% 2

Ohio Ohio Final NEP

12:22am (1963) 2:06pm (2020) 12:22am (13047)

GENDER Mix Votes Kerry Bush Mix Kerry Bush Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other

Male 47% 2.65 51% 49% 47% 48% 52% 46% 56.20 47% 52% 1%

Female 53% 2.99 53% 47% 53% 50% 50% 54% 65.97 54% 45% 1%

Total 52.06% 47.94% 49.06% 50.94% 50.78% 48.22% 1.00%

5.635 2.934 2.701 2.765 2.870 122.17 62.04 58.91 1.22

RACE/GENDER

WM 40% 2.25 47% 53% 40% 43% 56% 36% 43.89 41% 58% 1%

WF 45% 2.54 47% 53% 46% 45% 55% 41% 49.99 47% 52% 1%

NWM 7% 0.39 75% 25% 7% 73% 27% 10% 12.19 69% 28% 1%

NWF 8% 0.45 82% 18% 8% 82% 18% 13% 15.85 77% 22% 1%

Total 51.76% 48.24% 49.57% 51.03% 50.94% 47.86% 1.00%

2.917 2.718 2.793 2.876 121.93 62.23 58.47 1.22

VOTED BEFORE? VOTED in 2000

No 14% 0.79 55% 45% 15% 54% 46% No 17% 20.77 57% 41% 2%

Yes 86% 4.85 50% 50% 85% 47% 52% Gore 39% 47.65 91% 8% 1%

Total 50.70% 49.30% 48.05% 51.10% Bush 41% 50.09 10 90% 0%

2.857 2.778 2.708 2.879 Nader 3% 3.67 71% 21% 8%

1.41% 47.62% 0.97%

122.17 62.80 58.17 1.18

AGE Mix Votes Kerry Bush Mix Kerry Bush Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other

18-29 21% 1.18 60% 40% 21% 56% 42% 17% 20.56 56% 42% 1%

30-44 30% 1.69 50% 49% 30% 47% 52% 29% 35.08 48% 49% 2%

45-59 29% 1.63 51% 49% 29% 48% 52% 30% 36.28 51% 47% 1%

60- 20% 1.13 45% 55% 20% 43% 57% 24% 29.03 48% 51% 0%

Total 51.39% 48.31% 48.38% 50.90% 50.26%47.69% 1.05

2.896 2.722 2.726 2.868 120.95 61.40 58.26 1.28

INCOME

0-15 7% 0.39 73% 27% 7% 71% 29% 9% 10.96 65% 34% 1%

15-30 16% 0.90 66% 34% 16% 63% 37% 15% 18.27 60% 38% 1%

30-50 25% 1.41 53% 46% 25% 50% 49% 22% 26.80 53% 46% 1%

50-75 22% 1.24 44% 55% 22% 41% 58% 23% 28.02 46% 53% 1%

75-100 15% 0.85 50% 50% 15% 45% 55% 13% 15.84 48% 51% 0%

100-150 9% 0.51 44% 56% 9% 42% 58% 11% 13.40 45% 53% 2%

150-200 4% 0.23 39% 61% 4% 37% 63% 4% 4.87 47% 53% 0%

200- 2% 0.11 39% 61% 2% 39% 61% 3% 3.65 41% 58% 1%

Total 52.40% 47.13% 49.36% 50.17% 51.39% 47.39% 0.94%

2.953 2.656 2.781 2.827 121.83 62.78 57.89 1.14

EDUCATION

NoHS 4% 0.23 60% 40% 4% 58% 42% 4% 4.89 53% 46% 1%

HSGrad 29% 1.63 53% 46% 30% 51% 49% 22% 26.88 50% 48% 2%

College 28% 1.58 50% 50% 29% 48% 52% 31% 37.87 48% 51% 1%

ColGrad 25% 1.41 47% 53% 25% 45% 55% 26% 31.76 49% 50% 1%

Postg 14% 0.79 53% 47% 13% 49% 51% 17% 20.77 57% 41% 2%

Total 50.94% 48.77% 49.16% 51.84% 50.43% 48.18% 1.39%

2.870 2.748 2.770 2.921 122.17 61.61 58.86 1.69

PARTY ID Mix Votes Kerry Bush Mix Kerry Bush Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other

Dem 38% 2.14 91% 8% 35% 90% 9% 38% 46.17 90% 9% 1%

Rep 37% 2.08 6% 94% 40% 6% 94% 35% 42.53 7% 92% 1%

Ind 25% 1.41 60% 39% 25% 59% 40% 27% 32.81 52% 44% 2%

Total 51.80% 47.57% 48.65% 50.75% 50.69% 47.50% 1.27%

2.919 2.681 2.741 2.860 121.51 61.92 58.03 1.55

IDEOLOGY

Lib 21% 1.18 87% 13% 19% 85% 14% 22% 26.61 86% 12% 1%

Mod 47% 2.65 61% 39% 47% 59% 41% 45% 54.43 57% 41% 1%

Con 32% 1.80 13% 87% 34% 13% 87% 33% 39.91 16% 82% 1%

Total 51.10% 48.90% 48.30% 51.51% 49.85% 48.15% 1.0%

2.879 2.756 2.722 2.903 120.95 60.90 58.82 1.22

RELIGION

Prot 56% 3.16 46% 54% 57% 44% 56% 53% 64.71 43% 56% 1%

Cath 26% 1.47 46% 53% 26% 44% 55% 27% 32.96 50% 49% 1%

Jewish 1% 0.06 76% 24% 1% 76% 24% 3% 3.66 78% 22% 0%

Other 6% 0.34 76% 24% 6% 72% 26% 7% 8.55 75% 21% 3%

None 11% 0.62 72% 28% 10% 69% 29% 10% 12.21 69% 29% 2%

Total 50.96% 48.78% 48.50% 50.92% 50.78% 47.94% 1.21%

2.872 2.749 2.733 2.869 122.09 62.03 58.56 1.47

WHEN DECIDED

Today 5% 0.28 60% 40% 5% 61% 39% 6% 7.31 53% 40% 5%

3Days 4% 0.23 64% 36% 4% 64% 36% 3% 3.65 53% 41% 4%

Week 2% 0.11 64% 36% 3% 64% 36% 2% 2.44 48% 51% 1%

Month 10% 0.56 62% 37% 11% 61% 36% 10% 12.18 60% 38% 1%

Before 79% 4.45 48% 52% 78% 45% 55% 79% 96.24 50% 50% 0%

Total 50.96% 48.94% 48.73% 50.27% 51.23% 47.95% 0.54%

2.872 2.758 2.746 2.872 121.83 62.58 58.58 0.66

REGION Mix Votes Kerry Bush Mix Kerry Bush Mix Votes Kerry Bush Other

Cuyahoga 13% 0.73 65% 35% 12% 65% 35% East 22% 26.74 58% 41% 1%

NE 27% 1.52 55% 45% 27% 50% 50% Central 26% 31.60 50% 49% 1%

Central 23% 1.30 47% 52% 20% 40% 58% South 31% 37.68 44% 54% 1%

NW 11% 0.62 50% 49% 15% 52% 47% West 21% 25.52 53% 45% 1%

SW 26% 1.47 46% 54% 26% 45% 55%

Total 51.57% 48.09% 48.80% 50.65% 50.53% 47.95% 1.00%

2.906 2.710 2.750 2.854 121.54 61.73 58.58 1.22

BUSH JOB Approval MILITARY

Approve 51% 2.87 7% 93% 53% 7% 93% Yes 18% 21.95 43% 55% 1%

Disappr 49% 2.76 95% 5% 46% 94% 5% No 82% 100.00 53% 46% 1%

Total 50.12% 49.88% 46.95% 51.59% 51.20% 47.62% 1.0

2.824 2.811 2.646 2.907 121.95 62.55 58.17 1.22

SIZE OF COMMUNITY

BigCity 7% 0.39 50% 49% 6% 43% 53%

SmCity 19% 1.07 62% 38% 19% 62% 38%

Suburbs 49% 2.76 51% 49% 49% 49% 51%

SmTowns 6% 0.34 55% 43% 6% 49% 49%

Rural 19% 1.07 40% 59% 19% 36% 63%

Total 51.17% 48.45% 8.15% 50.30%

2.883 2.730 2.713 2.834

SIZE OF COMMUNITY

Urban 26% 1.47 59% 41% 25% 58% 41%

Suburb 49% 2.76 51% 49% 49% 49% 51%

Rural 25% 1.41 44% 56% 25% 40% 60%

Total 51.33% 48.67% 48.51% 50.24%

2.892 2.743 2.734 2.831

RACE Mix Votes Kerry Bush Mix Kerry Bush

White 86% 4.85 47% 53% 86% 44% 56%

Black 9% 0.51 84% 16% 10% 84% 16%

Latino 3% 0.17 72% 28% 3% 65% 35%

Asian 1% 0.06 72% 28% 1% 72% 28%

Other 1% 0.06 72% 28% 1% * *

Total 51.58% 48.42% 48.91% 51.09%

2.907 2.728 2.756 2.879

VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE

Dem 43% 2.42 93% 7% 36% 94% 6%

Rep 57% 3.21 21% 79% 64% 23% 77%

Total 51.96% 48.04% 48.56% 51.44%

2.928 2.707 2.736 2.899

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2000-2004 Ohio Recorded Votes and Margins by County

The county databases do not include the total number of recorded votes (129,000 in 2000 and 145,000 in 2004)

Late absentee votes had not yet been counted.

Gore won 53.1% of the late 129,000 recorded votes (2.77% of the total) compared to 46.5% of the initial recorded votes.

Kerry won 56.2% of the late 145,000 recorded votes (2.59% of the total) compared to 48.7% of the initial recorded votes.

The discrepancies between the initial and late Democratic vote shares are further evidence of a stolen election.

2000 Bush2k Bush04 2004 VoteChg PctChg

GORE BUSH NADER Margin Margin KERRY BUSH Margin Margin Machine Incidents

Total Recorded 47.0% 50.5% 2.5% 165.0 118.6 48.9% 51.1% -46.4 -1.43%

County Data 46.8% 50.7% 2.5% 176.4 136.5 48.7% 51.3% -39.9 -1.40%

Late Votes 53.1% 44.3% 2.6% -11.4 -17.9 56.2% 43.8% -6.5 -3.47%

DRE 49.1% 48.2% 2.6% -6.3 -45.3 &nbbsp; 52.6% 47.4% -38.9 -4.4% 116

OPTISCAN 43.8% 53.9% 2.3% 56.2 69.9 44.7% 55.3% 13.7 0.5% 31

PUNCH 46.8% 50.7% 2.6% 126.6 111.9 48.6% 51.4% -14.8 -1.0% &nnbsp; 101

DRE

Auglaize 28.2% 69.9% 1.9% 7.9 10.7 25.8% 74.2% 2.8 6.7% 0

Franklin 49.1% 48.3% 2.6% -3.1 -41.4 54.1% &nnbsp; 45.9% -38.3 -7.3% &nnbsp; 82

Knox 34.0% 63.8% 2.2% 6.1 7.1 36.6% 63.4% 1.0 -2.9% 1

Lake 45.9% 51.0% 3.1% 5.1 3.1 48.7% 51.3% -1.9 -2.5% 0

Mahoning 61.2% 35.8% 2.9% -28.3 -33.5 62.9% 37.1% -5.2 -0.5% 33

Pickaway 37.5% 61.0% 1.6% 4.1 5.5 37.7% 62.3% 1.4 1.1% 0

Ross 45.3% 53.1% 1.6% 2.0 3.2 44.7% 55.3% 1.3 2.8% 0

OPTISCAN

Allen 32.2% 66.1% 1.7% 14.3 15.8 33.3% 66.7% 1.5 -0.6% 0

Ashland 32.2% 65.1% 2.7% 6.6 7.5 34.5% 65.5% 0.9 -1.9% 0

Clermont 30.1% 68.0% 1.9% 25.7 36.4 29.1% 70.9% 10.7 3.9% 0

Coshocton 39.6% 58.3% 2.1% 2.6 2.4 42.6% 57.4% -0.2 -3.8% 0

Erie 51.0% 46.5% 2.5% -1.5 -2.6 &nbssp; 53.4% 46.6% -1.1 -2.3% 0

Geauga 36.4% 60.3% 3.3% 9.9 10.4 39.5% 60.5% 0.5 -2.9% 0

Hancock 28.9% 69.2% 1.9% 11.9 14.4 29.0% 71.0% 2.5 1.8% 0

Hardin 37.9% 60.1% 2.1% 2.4 3.5 36.6% 63.4% 1.1 4.6% 0

Lucas 58.1% 39.5% 2.3% -33.8 -43.5 60.1% &nnbsp; 39.9% -9.7 -1.7% &nbbsp; 31

Miami 36.7% 61.2% 2.1% 10.2 16.0 34.0% 66.0% 5.8 7.4% 0

Ottawa 47.8% 50.0% 2.2% 0.4 0.9 48.0% 52.0% 0.5 1.7% 0

Sandusky 43.7% 54.0% 2.3% 2.5 3.9 43.8% 56.2% 1.4 2.1% 0

Washington 39.5% 58.4% 2.2% 4.9 4.9 41.6% 58.4% 0.0 -2.1% 0

2000 2000 2004 2004 Change Net

GORE BUSH NADER Margin Margin KERRY BUSH Margin Margin Inc

PUNCH CARDS

Adams 35.3% 63.1% 1.6% 2.8 3.3 35.9% 64.1% 0.5 0.4% 0

Ashtabula 50.9% 46.2% 2.9% -1.8 -2.9 53.3% 46.7% -1.1 -1.9% 0

Athens 53.6% 40.1% 6.3% -3.0 -7.5 &nbssp; 63.7% 36.3% -4.5 -13.8% 0

Belmont 54.5% 43.0% 2.5% -3.3 -2.0 53.0% &nbbsp; 47.0% 1.4 5.5% 0

Brown 36.7% 61.6% 1.7% 4.0 5.4 36.1% 63.9% 1.4 2.8% 0

Butler 34.1% 63.9% 2.0% 39.0 52.6 33.7% 66.3% 13.5 2.9% 0

Carroll 41.4% 56.3% 2.3% 1.8 1.3 45.1% 54.9% -0.4 -5.1% 0

Champaign 38.3% 59.4% 2.2% 3.2 4.7 37.1% 62.9% 1.5 4.6% 0

Clark 49.0% 48.7% 2.4% -0.2 1.6 p; 48.8% 51.2% 1.8 2.7% 1

Clinton 32.0% 65.8% 2.2% 4.9 7.4 29.3% 70.7% 2.4 7.4% 0

Columbn 47.4% 49.9% 2.8% 1.1 2.3 47.6% 52.4% 1.3 2.3% 0

Crawford 35.5% 61.7% 2.8% 4.9 6.0 35.8% 64.2% 1.2 2.2% 0

Cuyahoga 63.0% 34.0% 3.0% -156.8 -217.6 66.8% 33.2% -60.8 -4.6% 75

Darke 33.6% 64.4% 1.9% 6.9 10.2 30.0% 70.0% 3.3 9.1% 0

Defiance 38.5% 59.3% 2.3% 3.3 4.3 37.8% 62.2% 1.1 3.7% 0

Delaware 31.2% 66.7% 2.2% 19.0 25.7 33.6% 66.4% 6.7 -2.8% 0

Fairfield 35.5% 62.4% 2.1% 14.2 17.7 36.6% 63.4% 3.5 -0.2% 0

Fayette 36.5% 61.7% 1.8% 2.3 3.0 37.0% 63.0% 0.7 0.8% 0

Fulton 36.3% 61.7% 2.0% 4.7 5.3 37.6% 62.4% 0.7 -0.6% 0

Gallia 38.6% 59.7% 1.7% 2.6 3.1 38.4% 61.6% 0.5 2.1% 0

Greene 38.5% 59.1% 2.4% 12.8 17.5 38.5% 61.5% 4.7 2.4% 0

Guernsey 43.6% 53.7% 2.7% 1.5 2.0 43.7% 56.3% 0.6 2.4% 0

Hamilton 42.6% 54.9% 2.5% 44.1 24.7 47.0% 53.0% -19.4 -6.2% &nnbsp; 18

Harrison 48.1% 49.1% 2.7% 0.1 0.5 47.0% 53.0% 0.4 5.1% 0

Henry 33.1% 65.0% 1.9% 4.1 4.7 34.0% 66.0% 0.6 0.1% 0

Highland 34.8% 63.6% 1.6% 4.3 5.9 33.6% 66.4% 1.5 4.0% 0

Hocking 42.8% 54.5% 2.8% 1.2 0.8 47.1% 52.9% -0.4 -5.8% 0

Holmes 23.0% 75.0% 1.9% 4.6 5.7 24.0% 76.0% 1.1 0.0% 0

Huron 38.8% 58.5% 2.7% 4.1 4.2 41.6% 58.4% 0.1 -2.9% 0

Jackson 41.7% 56.5% 1.8% 1.8 2.9 39.7% 60.3% 1.1 5.8% 0

Jefferson 52.3% 45.0% 2.7% -2.4 -1.8 52.5% &nbbsp; 47.5% 0.6 2.2% 0

Lawrence 46.6% 51.7% 1.7% 1.2 3.3 43.9% 56.1% 2.1 7.1% 0

Licking 37.5% 60.1% 2.4% 13.7 18.7 37.9% 62.1% 5.0 1.6% 0

Logan 32.6% 65.0% 2.5% 5.8 7.4 32.1% 67.9% 1.6 3.5% 0

Lorain 53.7% 43.4% 2.9% -11.2 -16.8 56.2% &nnbsp; 43.8% -5.6 -1.9% &nbbsp; 0

Madison 36.4% 61.5% 2.1% 3.5 4.9 35.7% 64.3% 1.3 3.5% 0

Marion 42.1% 55.5% 2.4% 3.2 5.2 40.7% 59.3% 2.0 5.1% 0

Medina 40.4% 56.6% 3.0% 10.5 11.8 42.9% 57.1% 1.2 -2.1% 0

Meigs 38.0% 59.6% 2.4% 2.0 1.8 41.3% 58.7% -0.2 -4.2% 0

Mercer 28.9% 68.9% 2.2% 7.1 10.1 24.7% 75.3% 3.0 10.6% 0

Monroe 52.4% 45.5% 2.2% -0.5 -0.8 &nbssp; 55.3% 44.7% -0.3 -3.7% 0

Montgomery 49.8% 48.2% 2.0% -3.7 -3.5 &nbssp; 50.6% 49.4% 0.1 0.3% 0

Morgan 38.4% 58.6% 3.0% 1.2 0.9 43.2% 56.8% -0.3 -6.6% 0

Morrow 35.8% 61.8% 2.4% 3.3 4.7 35.4% 64.6% 1.4 3.1% 0

Muskingum 41.6% 55.6% 2.7% 4.4 5.9 42.3% 57.7% 1.4 1.4% 0

Noble 39.0% 58.3% 2.6% 1.1 1.2 40.8% 59.2% 0.1 -0.9% 0

Paulding 38.3% 59.0% 2.7% 1.8 2.5 36.8% 63.2% 0.7 5.6% 0

Perry 46.5% 50.8% 2.6% 0.5 0.6 48.1% 51.9% 0.0 -0.5% 0

Pike 47.1% 51.2% 1.7% 0.4 0.5 47.9% 52.1% 0.1 0.2% 0

Portage 50.6% 45.6% 3.8% -3.0 -4.9 53.2% &nbbsp; 46.8% -1.8 -1.5% &nbbsp; 1

Preble 35.6% 62.2% 2.2% 4.7 6.3 34.7% 65.3% 1.6 4.1% 0

Putnam 23.7% 74.8% 1.5% 8.7 9.8 23.4% 76.6% 1.2 2.0% 0

Richland 39.4% 58.0% 2.5% 9.5 12.2 39.9% 60.1% 2.7 1.6% 0

Scioto 45.7% 52.4% 1.9% 2.0 1.5 47.8% 52.2% -0.5 -2.4% 0

Seneca 39.6% 57.7% 2.8% 4.3 4.9 40.8% 59.2% 0.6 0.3% 0

Shelby 33.9% 64.1% 2.0% 5.8 9.5 28.6% 71.4% 3.7 12.7% 0

Stark 47.7% 49.7% 2.6% 3.0 -2.4 50.7% 49.3% -5.5 -3.3% 1

Summit 53.7% 43.6% 2.7% -22.1 -36.7 56.8% &nnbsp; 43.2% -14.6 -3.5% &nnbsp; 5

Trumbull 60.6% 36.5% 2.9% -22.4 -25.1 61.9% 38.1% -2.7 0.3% 0

Tuscarawas 43.6% 53.5% 2.9% 3.6 4.9 44.1% 55.9% 1.3 1.8% 0

Union 29.8% 68.1% 2.0% 6.3 9.0 29.6% 70.4% 2.7 2.6% 0

Van Wert 32.1% 66.2% 1.7% 4.4 6.5 27.7% 72.3% 2.1 10.5% 0

Vinton 41.9% 55.8% 2.3% 0.7 0.6 45.0% 55.0% -0.1 -3.9% 0

Warren 28.0% 70.5% 1.6% 28.5 41.1 27.6% 72.4% 12.6 2.2% 0

Wayne 35.3% 61.9% 2.8% 10.9 12.0 38.2% 61.8% 1.1 -3.0% 0

Williams 34.8% 63.0% 2.2% 4.3 5.4 34.9% 65.1% 1.1 2.1% 0

Wood 43.9% 53.2% 2.9% 4.7 4.4 46.4% 53.6% -0.4 -2.2% 0

Wyandot 34.9% 63.1% 2.0% 2.7 3.4 33.8% 66.2% 0.7 4.2% 0