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Extreme weather: Get ready to see more of it, scientists say
(CNN) -- A map of significant climate events
the United States in June looks almost apocalyptic: hellish heat, ferocious fires
severe storms leaving people injured, homeless and
dead.
followed a warm winter and early season droughts. News came Monday
the mainland United States experienced its warmest 12 months
the dawn of record-
in 1895.
And
Tuesday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a report calling 2011 a
of extreme weather.
Wildfire victims face second tragedy
Remember Hurricane Irene? Or the floods in Thailand and southern China and the deadly drought in
Horn of Africa? Heavy rains in Brazil caused massive landslides and
of Europe suffered through a sweltering heatwave.It's tempting to simplify things and
it
on global warming.
all, nine of the top 10 warmest years globally
occurred since 2000 according to NOAA.
But weather can
complicated.
The real challenge is figuring
whether a particular storm or flood was
to climate change or natural variables, said Chris Field, founding director of the Carnegie Institution's Department of Global Ecology.
The NOAA report, for
, noted some events that were exacerbated by
factors. However, climate change increases global risks, Field said.
"As we change the climate, we're shifting the
for extreme weather," he said.
It's
of like upping your chances of a car
if you're speeding.
The four classes of extremes -- high heat,
precipitation and floods, duration and intensity of droughts and extremes related to higher sea
-- have changed
the last 50 years, Field said.
"Increasingly, we
loading the dice towards these very damaging kinds of extremes," he said.
But that's
to say every weather event is related
warming temperatures.
Southern Greenland, northern Russia, and the eastern two-thirds of North America
felt the greatest warmth in 2012, but
places -- Alaska, Mongolia and most of Australia -- have been cool anomalies.
Russia declares day of mourning
flood victims
If you watched the Wimbledon Sunday, you'd know that the Roger Federer-Andy Murray match was the first
a men's final was stopped for
rain. It has been cooler and wetter
normal for the last few months in the British
.
America's northwest has
escaped heat. The state of Washington just marked its seventh coolest June
.
"When you've got a planet that's nearest warmest levels
record that doesn't mean every
of the world is going to be the warmest
," said Jeff Masters, director of meteorology for Weather Underground.
"The U.S. has been unlucky
to be in that sort of pattern," he said.
Jake Crouch, a climate scientist
the National Climatic Data Center, said weather patterns -- including the jet
or the ocean-atmosphere systems in the Pacific
as El Nino and La Nina -- have a great affect
weather, Crouch said.
Adapted and abridged from: CNN, July 10, 2012.
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