William Charles Simpson
Forecast Lag Measurments


GNP 1950 to '59




GNP Lag Measurments 1950 to '59
Figures in billions of dollars. Growth factor is year to year net change. Growth factor used is the year to year net change. Lag happen when actuals are equal or greater than sliding projections. Source: Economics, 7th Ed., by Lipsey, Steiner, Purvis/Economic Report of the President 1983.

Note: These are *NOT* the time conversions.


year gnp prev nc proj lag y0 lag y1 lag y2 lag y3 lag y4      
     
1950 286      
1951 331 286 45 376 88.0%      
1952 348 331 17 365 95.3% 92.6%      
1953 367 348 19 386 95.1% 100.5% 97.6%      
1954 367 367 0 367 100.0% 95.1% 100.5% 97.6%      
1955 400 367 33 433 92.4% 109.0% 103.6% 109.6% 106.4%      
1956 422 400 22 444 95.0% 97.5% 115.0% 109.3% 115.6%      
1957 444 422 22 466 95.3% 100.0% 102.5% 121.0% 115.0%      
1958 450 444 6 456 98.7% 96.6% 101.4% 103.9% 122.6%      
1959 488 450 38 526 92.8% 107.0% 104.7% 109.9% 112.7%      
Last Updated on 1/16/99


Last Updated on 2/2/99
By WC Simpson




WCS Home

Lag
Index


Forecast & Time

Email: [email protected]



Hosted by www.Geocities.ws

1