William Charles Simpson
Forecast Lag Measurements


GDP 1990 to '97


GDP Lag Measurements 1990 to '97
Figures are in billions of current dollars. Growth factor used is the year to year net change. Lag calcualted by dividing the actuals by the sliding projections. Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Note: These are *NOT* the time conversions.

year gpd prev nc proj lag y0 lag y1 lag y2
               
1990 5743.8            
1991 5916.7 5743.8 172.9 6089.6 97.2%    
1992 6244.4 5916.7 327.7 6572.1 95.0% 102.5%  
1993 6558.1 6244.4 313.7 6871.8 95.4% 99.8% 107.7%
1994 6947.0 6558.1 388.9 7335.9 94.7% 101.4% 105.7%
1995 7269.6 6947.0 322.6 7592.2 95.8% 99.1% 105.8%
1996 7661.6 7269.6 392.0 8053.6 95.1% 100.9% 104.4%
1997 8110.9 7661.6 449.3 8560.2 94.8% 100.7% 106.8%


Last Updated on 1/25/99
By WC Simpson

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