This page contains the famous Baloney Detection Kit in its full form straight from Carl Sagan's The Demon-Haunted World book as well as some excerpts I could not resist but post here as well.
Carl Sagan, The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle
in the Dark.
Ballantine Books. New York. 1996
(209-216 from chapter “The Fine Art of Baloney Detection”
In science we may start with experimental results, data, observations, measurements,
"facts." We invent, if we can, a rich array of possible explanations
and systematically confront each explanation with the facts. In the course
of their training, scientists are equipped with a baloney detection kit. The
kit is brought out as a matter of course whenever new ideas are offered for
consideration. If the new idea survives examination by the tools in our kit,
we grant it warm, although tentative, acceptance. If you're so inclined, if
you don't want to buy baloney even when it's reassuring to do so, there are
precautions that can be taken; there's a tried-and-true, consumer-tested method.
What's in the kit? Tools for skeptical thinking.
What skeptical thinking boils down to is the means to construct, and to understand,
a reasoned argument and —especially important— to recognize a
fallacious or fraudulent argument. The question is not whether we like the
conclusion that emerges out of a train of reasoning, but whether the conclusion
follows from the premise or starting point and whether that premise is true.
Among the tools:
• Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the
"facts."
• Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents
of all points of view.
• Arguments from authority carry little weight—"authorities"
have made mistakes in the past. They will do so again in the future. Perhaps
a better way to say it is that in science there are no authorities; at most,
there are experts.
• Spin more than one hypothesis. If there's something to be explained,
think of all the different ways in which it could be explained. Then think
of tests by which you might systematically disprove each of the alternatives.
What survives, the hypothesis that resists disproof in this Darwinian selection
among "multiple working hypotheses," has a much better chance of
being the right answer than if you had simply run with the first idea that
caught your fancy.*
*This is a problem that affects jury trials. Retrospective studies show that
some jurors make up their minds very early—perhaps during opening arguments—and
then retain the evidence that seems to support their initial impressions and
reject the contrary evidence. The method of alternative working hypotheses
is not running in their heads.
• Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it's yours.
It's only a way station in the pursuit of knowledge. Ask yourself why you
like the idea. Compare it fairly with the alternatives. See if you can find
reasons for rejecting it. If you don't, others will.
• Quantify. If whatever it is you're explaining has some measure, some
numerical quantity attached to it, you'll be much better able to discriminate
among competing hypotheses. What is vague and quali tative is open to many
explanations. Of course there are truths to be sought in the many qualitative
issues we are obliged to confront, but finding them is more challenging.
• If there's a chain of argument, every link in the chain must work
(including the premise) — not just most of them.
• Occam's Razor. This convenient rule-of-thumb urges us when faced with
two hypotheses that explain the data equally well to choose the simpler.
• Always ask whether the hypothesis can be, at least in principle, falsified.
Propositions that are untestable, unfalsifiable are not worth much. Consider
the grand idea that our Universe and everything in it is just an elementary
particle—an electron, say—in a much bigger Cosmos. But if we can
never acquire information from outside our Universe, is not the idea incapable
of disproof? You must be able to check assertions out. Inveterate skeptics
must be given the chance to follow your reasoning, to duplicate your experiments
and see if they get the same result.
In addition to teaching us what to do when evaluating a claim to knowledge, any good baloney detection kit must also teach us what not to do. It helps us recognize the most common and perilous fallacies of logic and rhetoric. Many good examples can be found in religion and politics, because their practitioners are so often obliged to justify two contradictory propositions. Among these fallacies are:
• ad hominem — Latin for "to the man," attacking
the arguer and not
the argument (e.g., The Reverend Dr. Smith is a known Biblical fundamentalist,
so her objections to evolution need not be taken seriously);
• argument from authority (e.g., President Richard Nixon should be
re-elected because he has a secret plan to end the war in Southeast Asia
—but because it was secret, there was no way for the electorate to evaluate
it on its merits; the argument amounted to trusting him because he was President:
a mistake, as it turned out);
• argument from adverse consequences (e.g., A God meting out punishment
and reward must exist, because if He didn't, society would be much more lawless
and dangerous—perhaps even ungovernable.* Or: The defendant in a widely
publicized murder trial must be found guilty; otherwise, it will be an encouragement
for other men to murder their wives);
*A more cynical formulation by the Roman historian Polybius:
Since the masses of the people are inconstant, full of unruly desires, passionate,
and reckless of consequences, they must be filled with fears to keep them in
order. The ancients did well, therefore, to invent gods, and the belief in punishment
after death.
• appeal to ignorance—the claim that
whatever has not been proved false must be true, and vice versa (e.g., There
is no compelling evidence that UFOs are not visiting the Earth; therefore UFOs
exist—and there is intelligent life elsewhere in the Universe. Or: There
may be seventy kazillion other worlds, but not one is known to have the moral
advancement of the Earth, so we're still central to the Universe.) This
impatience with ambiguity can be criticized in the phrase: absence of evidence
is not evidence of absence.(RF - see note below)
• special pleading, often to rescue a proposition in deep rhetorical trouble
(e.g., How can a merciful God condemn future generations to torment because,
against orders, one woman induced one man to eat an apple? Special
plead: you don't understand the subtle Doctrine of Free Will. Or: How
can there be an equally godlike Father, Son, and Holy Ghost in the same Person?
Special plead: You don't understand the Divine Mystery of the Trinity.
Or: How could God permit the followers of Judaism, Christianity, and Islam—each
in their own way enjoined to heroic measures of loving kindness and compassion—to
have perpetrated so much cruelty for so long? Special plead: You don't understand
Free Will again. And anyway, God moves in mysterious ways.)
• begging the question, also called assuming the answer (e.g., We
must institute the death penalty to discourage violent crime. But does
the violent crime rate in fact fall when the death penalty is imposed? Or: The
stock market fell yesterday because of a technical adjustment and profit-taking
by investors—but is there any independent evidence
for the causal role of "adjustment" and profit-taking; have we learned
anything at all from this purported explanation?);
• observational selection, also called the enumeration of favorable circumstances,
or as the philosopher Francis Bacon described it, counting the hits and forgetting
the misses* (e.g., A state boasts of the Presidents it has produced, but
is silent on its serial killers);
* My favorite example is this story, told about the Italian physicist Enrico
Fermi, newly arrived on American shores, enlisted in the Manhattan nuclear weapons
Project, and brought face-to-face in the midst of World War II with U.S. flag
officers:
So-and-so is a great general, he was told.
What is the definition of a great general? Fermi characteristically asked.
I guess it's a general who's won many consecutive battles.
How many?
After some back and forth, they settled on five.
What fraction of American generals are great?
After some more back and forth, they settled on a few percent.
But imagine, Fermi rejoined, that there is no such thing as a great general,
that all armies are equally matched, and that winning a battle is purely a matter
of chance. Then the chance of winning one battle is one out of two, or 1/2;
two battles 1/4, three 1/8, four 1/16, and five consecutive battles 1/32—which
is about 3 percent. You would expect a few percent of American generals to win
five consecutive battles—purely by chance. Now, has any of them won ten
consecutive battles. . . ?
• statistics of small numbers—a close relative of observational
selection (e.g., '"They say i out of every 5 people is Chinese. How
is this possible? 1 know hundreds of people, and none of them is Chinese. Yours
truly." Or: "I've thrown three sevens in a row. Tonight 1
can't lose.");
• misunderstanding of the nature of statistics (e.g., President Dwight
Eisenhower expressing astonishment and alarm on discovering that fully half
of all Americans have below average intelligence);
• inconsistency (e.g., Prudently plan for the worst of which a potential
military adversary is capable, but thriftily ignore scientific projections on
environmental dangers because they're not "proved." Or: Attribute
the declining life expectancy in the former Soviet Union to the failures of
communism many years ago, but never attribute the high infant mortality rate
in the United States (now highest of the major industrial nations) to the failures
of capitalism. Or: Consider it reasonable for the Universe to continue
to exist forever into the future, but judge absurd the possibility that it has
infinite duration into the past);
• non sequitur—Latin for "It doesn't follow"
(e.g., Our nation will prevail because God is great. But nearly every nation
pretends this to be true; the German formulation was "Gott mit uns").
Often those falling into the non sequitur fallacy have simply failed to recognize
alternative possibilities;
• post hoc, ergo propter hoc — Latin for "It happened
after, so it was caused by" (e.g., Jaime Cardinal Sin, Archbishop of Manila:
"I know of . . . a 26-year-old who looks 60 because she takes [contraceptive]
pills." Or: Before women got the vote, there were no nuclear weapons);
• meaningless question (e.g., What happens when an irresistible force
meets an immovable object? But if there is such a thing as an irresistible
force there can be no immovable objects, and vice versa);
• excluded middle, or false dichotomy—considering only the two extremes
in a continuum of intermediate possibilities (e.g., "Sure, take his
side; my husband's perfect; I'm always wrong." Or: "Either
you love your country or you hate it." Or: "If you're not
part of the solution, you're part of the problem");
• short-term vs. long-term —a subset of the excluded middle, but
so important I've pulled it out for special attention (e.g., We can't afford
programs to feed malnourished children and educate pre-school kids. We need
to urgently deal with crime on the streets. Or: Why explore space or
pursue fundamental science when we have so huge a budget deficit?);
• slippery slope, related to excluded middle (e.g., If we allow abortion
in the first weeks of pregnancy, it will be impossible to prevent the killing
of a full-term infant. Or, conversely: If the state prohibits abortion
even in the ninth month, it will soon be telling us what to do with our bodies
around the time of conception);
• confusion of correlation and causation (e.g., A survey shows that
more college graduates are homosexual than those with lesser education; therefore
education makes people gay. Or: Andean earthquakes are correlated with
closest approaches of the planet Uranus; therefore—despite the absence
of any such correlation for the nearer, more massive planet Jupiter—the
latter causes the former*);
* Or: Children who watch violent TV programs tend to be more violent when they
grow up. But did the TV cause the violence, or do violent children preferentially
enjoy watching violent programs? Very likely both are true. Commercial defenders
of TV violence argue that anyone can distinguish between television and reality.
But Saturday morning children's programs now average 25 acts of violence per
hour. At the very least this desensitizes young children to aggression and random
cruelty. And if impressionable adults can have false memories implanted in their
brains, what are we implanting in our children when we expose them to some 100,000
acts of violence before they graduate from elementary school?
• straw man —caricaturing a position to make it easier
to attack (e.g., Scientists suppose that living things simply fell together
by chance—a formulation that willfully ignores the central Darwinian
insight, that Nature ratchets up by saving what works and discarding what doesn't.
Or—this is also a short-term/long-term fallacy—environmentalists
care more for snail darters and spotted owls than they do for people);
• suppressed evidence, or half-truths (e.g., An amazingly accurate
and widely quoted "prophecy" of the assassination attempt on President
Reagan is shown on television; but—an important detail—was
it recorded before or after the event? Or: These government abuses demand
revolution, even if you can't make an omelette without breaking some eggs.
Yes, but is this likely to be a revolution in which far more people are killed
than under the previous regime? What does the experience of other revolutions
suggest? Are all revolutions against oppressive regimes desirable and in the
interests of the people?);
• weasel words (e.g., The separation of powers of the U.S. Constitution
specifies that the United States may not conduct a war without a declaration
by Congress. On the other hand, Presidents are given control of foreign policy
and the conduct of wars, which are potentially powerful tools for getting themselves
re-elected. Presidents of either political party may therefore be tempted to
arrange wars while waving the flag and calling the wars something else —"police
actions," "armed incursions," "protective reaction strikes,"
"pacification," "safeguarding American interests," and a
wide variety of "operations," such as "Operation Just Cause."
Euphemisms for war are one of a broad class of reinventions of language for
political purposes. Talleyrand said, "An important art of politicians is
to find new names for institutions which under old names have become odious
to the public").
Knowing the existence of such logical and rhetorical fallacies rounds out our
toolkit. Like all tools, the baloney detection kit can be misused, applied out
of context, or even employed as a rote alternative to thinking. But applied
judiciously, it can make all the difference in the world—not least in
evaluating our own arguments before we present them to others.
(RF: Appeal to ignorance works both ways - if existence has not been proved, it does not necessarily mean nonexistence. Lack of evidence is not evidence in itself either for existence or nonexistence. However, some people believe that the Burden of Proof is always on the side that claims Existence - God, UFO's, Unicorns, Elves etc are to be proved to exist rather than disproved to nonexist. However, some other people believe shifting the burden of proof to one side is evasion of honest toil, but RF certainly does not think so...)
(118-124, from chapter “The Demon-Haunted World”)
Obsession with demons began to reach a crescendo when, in his famous Bull of
1484, Pope Innocent VIII declared,
It has come to Our ears that members of both sexes do not avoid to have
intercourse with evil angels, incubi, and succubi, and that by their sorceries,
and by their incantations, charms, and conjurations, they suffocate, extinguish,
and cause to perish the births of women
as well as generate numerous other calamities. With this Bull, Innocent initiated
the systematic accusation, torture, and execution of countless "witches"
all over Europe. They were guilty of what Augustine had described as "a
criminal tampering with the unseen world."
Despite the evenhanded "members of both sexes" in the language of
the Bull, unsurprisingly it was mainly girls and women who were so persecuted.
Many leading Protestants of the following centuries, their differences with
the Catholic Church notwithstanding, adopted nearly identical views. Even humanists
such as Desiderius Erasmus and Thomas More believed in witches. "The giving
up of witchcraft," said John Wesley, the founder of Methodism, "is
in effect the giving up of the Bible." William Blackstone, the celebrated
jurist, in his Commentaries on the Laws of England (1765), asserted:
To deny the possibility, nay, actual existence of witchcraft and sorcery
is at once flatly to contradict the revealed word of God in various passages
of both the Old and New Testament.
Innocent commended "Our dear sons Henry Kramer and James Sprenger,"
who "have been by Letters Apostolic delegated as Inquisitors of these heretical
[de]pravities." If "the abominations and enormities in question remain
unpunished," the souls of multitudes face eternal damnation.
The Pope appointed Kramer and Sprenger to write a comprehensive analysis, using
the full academic armory of the late fifteenth century. With exhaustive citations
of Scripture and of ancient and modern scholars, they produced the Malleus
Maleficarum, the "Hammer of Witches" —aptly described as
one of the most terrifying documents in human history. Thomas Ady, in A
Candle in the Dark, condemned it as "villainous Doctrines & Inventions,"
"horrible lyes and impossibilities," serving to hide "their unparalleled
cruelty from the ears of the world." What the Malleus comes down
to, pretty much, is that if you're accused of witchcraft, you're a witch. Torture
is an unfailing means to demonstrate the validity of the accusation. There are
no rights of the defendant. There is no opportunity to confront the accusers.
Little attention is given to the possibility that accusations might be made
for impious purposes —jealousy, say, or revenge, or the greed of the inquisitors
who routinely confiscated for their own private benefit the property of the
accused. This technical manual for torturers also includes methods of punishment
tailored to release demons from the victim's body before the process kills her.
The Malleus in hand, the Pope's encouragement guaranteed, inquisitors
began springing up all over Europe.
It quickly became an expense account scam. All costs of investigation, trial,
and execution were borne by the accused or her relatives— down to per
diems for the private detectives hired to spy on her, wine for her guards, banquets
for her judges, the travel expenses of a messenger sent to fetch a more experienced
torturer from another city, and the faggots, tar and hangman's rope. Then there
was a bonus to the members of the tribunal for each witch burned. The convicted
witch's remaining property, if any, was divided between Church and State. As
this legally and morally sanctioned mass murder and theft became institutionalized,
as a vast bureaucracy arose to serve it, attention was turned from poor hags
and crones to the middle class and well-to-do of both sexes.
The more who, under torture, confessed to witchcraft, the harder it was to maintain
that the whole business was mere fantasy. Since each "witch" was made
to implicate others, the numbers grew exponentially. These constituted "frightful
proofs that the Devil is still alive," as it was later put in America in
the Salem witch trials. In a credulous age, the most fantastic testimony was
soberly accepted — that tens of thousands of witches had gathered for
a Sabbath in public squares in France, or that 12,000 of them darkened the skies
as they flew to Newfoundland. The Bible had counseled, "Thou shalt not
suffer a witch to live." Legions of women were burnt to death.* And the
most horrendous tortures were routinely applied to every defendant, young or
old, after the instruments of torture were first blessed by the priests. Innocent
himself died in 1492, following unsuccessful attempts to keep him alive by transfusion
(which resulted in the deaths of three boys) and by suckling at the breast of
a nursing mother. He was mourned by his mistress and their children.
* This mode of execution was adopted by the Holy Inquisition apparently
to guarantee literal accord with a well-intentioned sentence of canon law (Council
of Tours, 1163): "The Church abhors bloodshed."
In Britain witch-finders, also called "prickers," were employed,
receiving a handsome bounty for each girl or woman they turned over for execution.
They had no incentive to be cautious in their accusations. Typically they looked
for "devil's marks" —scars or birthmarks or nevi—that
when pricked with a pin neither hurt nor bled. A simple sleight of hand often
gave the appearance that the pin penetrated deep into the witch's flesh. When
no visible marks were apparent, "invisible marks" sufficed. Upon the
gallows, one mid-seventeenth-century pricker "confessed he had been the
death of above 220 women in England and Scotland, for the gain of twenty shillings
apiece."*
* In the murky territory of bounty hunters and paid informers, vile corruption
is often the rule—worldwide and through all of human history. To take
an example almost at random, in 1994, for a fee, a group of postal inspectors
from Cleveland agreed to go underground and ferret out wrongdoers; they then
contrived criminal cases against 32 innocent postal workers.
In the witch trials, mitigating evidence or defense witnesses were inadmissible.
In any case, it was nearly impossible to provide compelling alibis for accused
witches: The rules of evidence had a special character. For example, in more
than one case a husband attested that his wife was asleep in his arms at the
very moment she was accused of frolicking with the devil at a witch's Sabbath;
but the archbishop patiently explained that a demon had taken the place of the
wife. The husbands were not to imagine that their powers of perception could
exceed Satan's powers of deception. The beautiful young women were perforce
consigned to the flames.
There were strong erotic and misogynistic elements—as might be expected
in a sexually repressed, male-dominated society with inquisitors drawn from
the class of nominally celibate priests. The trials paid close attention to
the quality and quantity of orgasm in the supposed copulations of defendants
with demons or the Devil (although Augustine had been certain "we cannot
call the Devil a fornicator"), and to the nature of the Devil's "member"
(cold, by all reports). "Devil's marks" were found "generally
on the breasts or private parts" according to Ludovico Sinistrari's 1700
book. As a result pubic hair was shaved, and the genitalia were carefully inspected
by the exclusively male inquisitors. In the immolation of the 20-year-old Joan
of Arc, after her dress had caught fire the Hangman of Rouen slaked the flames
so onlookers could view "all the secrets which can or should be in a woman."
The chronicle of those who were consumed by fire in the single German city of
Wiirzburg in the single year 1598 penetrates the statistics and lets us confront
a little of the human reality:
The steward of the senate, named Gering; old Mrs. Kanzler; the tailor's
fat wife; the woman cook of Mr. Mengerdorf; a stranger; a strange woman; Baunach,
a senator, the fattest citizen in Wurtzburg; the old smith of the court; an
old woman; a little girl, nine or ten years old; a younger girl, her little
sister; the mother of the two little aforementioned girls; Liebler's daughter;
Goebel's child, the most beautiful girl in Wurtzburg; a student who knew many
languages; two boys from the Minster, each twelve years old; Stepper's little
daughter; the woman who kept the bridge gate; an old woman; the little son of
the town council bailiff; the wife of Knertz, the butcher; the infant daughter
of Dr. Schultz; a blind girl; Schwartz, canon at Hach...
On and on it goes. Some were given special humane attention: "The little
daughter of Valkenberger was privately executed and burnt." There were
28 public immolations, each with 4 to 6 victims on average, in that small city
in a single year. This was a microcosm of what was happening all across Europe.
No one knows how many were killed altogether—perhaps hundreds of thousands,
perhaps millions. Those responsible for prosecuting, torturing, judging, burning,
and justifying were selfless. Just ask them.
They could not be mistaken. The confessions of witchcraft could not be based
on hallucinations, say, or desperate attempts to satisfy the inquisitors and
stop the torture. In such a case, explained the witch judge Pierre de Lancre
(in his 1612 book, Description of the Inconstancy of Evil Angels),
the Catholic Church would be committing a great crime by burning witches. Those
who raise such possibilities are thus attacking the Church and ipso facto committing
a mortal sin. Critics of witch-burning were punished and, in some cases, themselves
burnt. The inquisitors and torturers were doing God's work. They were saving
souls. They were foiling demons.
Witchcraft of course was not the only offense that merited torture and burning
at the stake. Heresy was a still more serious crime, and both Catholics and
Protestants punished it ruthlessly. In the sixteenth century the scholar William
Tyndale had the temerity to contemplate translating the New Testament into English.
But if people could actually read the Bible in their own language instead of
arcane Latin, they could form their own, independent religious views. They might
conceive of their own private unintermediated line to God. This was a challenge
to the job security of Roman Catholic priests. When Tyndale tried to publish
his translation, he was hounded and pursued all over Europe. Eventually he was
captured, garroted, and then, for good measure, burned at the stake. His copies
of the New Testament (which a century later became the basis of the exquisite
King James translation) were then hunted down house-to-house by armed posses—Christians
piously defending Christianity by preventing other Christians from knowing the
words of Christ. Such a cast of mind, such a climate of absolute confidence
that knowledge should be rewarded by torture and death were unlikely to help
those accused of witchcraft.
Burning witches is a feature of Western civilization that has, with occasional
political exceptions, declined since the sixteenth century. In the last judicial
execution of witches in England, a woman and her nine-year-old daughter were
hanged. Their crime was raising a rain storm by taking their stockings off.
In our time, witches and djinns are found as regular fare in children's entertainment,
exorcism of demons is still practiced by the Roman Catholic and other churches,
and the proponents of one cult still denounce as sorcery the cultic practices
of another. We still use the word "pandemonium" (literally, all demons).
A crazed and violent person is still said to be demonic. (Not until the eighteenth
century was mental illness no longer generally ascribed to supernatural causes;
even insomnia had been considered a punishment inflicted by demons.) More than
half of Americans tell pollsters they "believe" in the Devil's existence,
and 10 percent have communicated with him, as Martin Luther reported he did
regularly. In a 1992 "spiritual warfare manual" called Prepare
for War, Rebecca Brown informs us that abortion and sex outside of marriage
"will almost always result in demonic infestation"; that meditation,
yoga and martial arts are designed so unsuspecting Christians will be seduced
into worshiping demons; and that "rock music didn't 'just happen,' it was
a carefully masterminded plan by none other than Satan himself." Sometimes
"your loved ones are demonically bound and blinded." Demonology is
today still part and parcel of many earnest faiths.
And what is it that demons do? In the Malleus, Kramer and Sprenger
reveal that "devils ... busy themselves by interfering with the process
of normal copulation and conception, by obtaining human semen, and themselves
transferring it." Demonic artificial insemination in the Middle Ages goes
back at least to St. Thomas Aquinas, who tells us in On the Trinity
that "demons can transfer the semen which they have collected and inject
it into the bodies of others." His contemporary, St. Bonaventura, spells
it out in a little more detail: Succubi "yield to males and receive their
semen; by cunning skill, the demons preserve its potency, and afterwards, with
the permission of God, they become incubi and pour it out into female repositories."
The products of these demon-mediated unions are also, when they grow up, visited
by demons. A multigenerational transspecies sexual bond is forged. And these
creatures, we recall, are well known to fly; indeed they inhabit the upper air.
There is no spaceship in these stories. But most of the central elements of
the alien abduction account are present, including sexually obsessive non-humans
who live in the sky, walk through walls, communicate telepathically, and perform
breeding experiments on the human species. Unless we believe that demons really
exist, how can we understand so strange a belief system, embraced by the whole
Western world (including those considered the wisest among us), reinforced by
personal experience in every generation, and taught by Church and State? Is
there any real alternative besides a shared delusion based on common brain wiring
and chemistry?
(161-165 from chapter “Therapy”)
One of the most troublesome cases of "recovered memory" of satanic
ritual abuse has been chronicled by Lawrence Wright in a remarkable book, Remembering
Satan (Knopf, 1994). It concerns Paul Ingram, a man who may have had his
life ruined because he was too gullible, too suggestible, too unpracticed in
skepticism. Ingram was, in 1988, Chairman of the Republican Party in Olympia,
Washington, the chief civil deputy in the local sheriff's department, well-regarded,
highly religious, and responsible for warning children in school assemblies
of the dangers of drugs. Then came the nightmare moment when one of his daughters—after
a highly emotional session at a fundamentalist religious retreat—leveled
the first of many charges, each more ghastly than the previous, that Ingram
had sexually abused her, impregnated her, tortured her, made her available to
other sheriffs deputies, introduced her to satanic rites, dismembered and eaten
babies. . . This had gone on since her childhood, she said, almost to the day
she began to "remember" it all.
Ingram could not see why his daughter should lie about this—although he
himself had no recollection of it. But police investigators, a consulting psychotherapist,
and his minister at the Church of Living Water all explained that sex offenders
often repressed memories of their crimes. Strangely detached but at the same
time eager to cooperate, Ingram tried to recall. After a psychologist employed
a closed-eye hypnotic technique to induce trance, Ingram began to visualize
something similar to what the police were describing. What came to mind were
not like real memories, but something like snatches of images in a fog. Every
time he produced one — the more so the more odious the content—he
was encouraged and reinforced. His pastor assured him that God would permit
only genuine memories to surface in his reveries.
"Boy, it's almost like I'm making it up," Ingram said, "but I'm
not." He suggested that a demon might be responsible. Under the same sort
of influences, with the Church grapevine circulating the latest horrors that
Ingram was confessing, and the police pressuring them, his other children and
his wife also began "remembering." Prominent citizens were accused
of participating in the orgiastic rites. Law enforcement officers elsewhere
in America began paying attention. This was only the tip of the iceberg, some
said.
When Berkeley's Richard Ofshe was called in by the prosecution, he performed
a control experiment. It was a breath of fresh air. Merely suggesting to Ingram
that he had forced his son and daughter to commit incest and asking him to use
the "memory recovery" technique he had learned, promptly elicited
just such a "memory." It required no pressure, no intimidation —just
the suggestion and the technique were enough. But the alleged participants,
who had "remembered" so much else, denied it ever happened. Confronted
with this evidence, Ingram vehemently denied he was making anything up or was
influenced by others. His memory of this incident was as clear and "real"
as all his other recollections.
One of the daughters described the terrible scars on her body from torture and
forced abortions. But when she finally received a medical examination, there
were no corresponding scars to be seen. The prosecution never tried Ingram on
charges of satanic abuse. Ingram hired a lawyer who had never tried a criminal
case. On his pastor's advice he did not even read Ofshe's report: it would only
confuse him, he was told. He pled guilty to six counts of rape, and ultimately
was sent to prison. In jail, while awaiting sentencing, away from his daughters,
his police colleagues and his pastor, he reconsidered. He asked to withdraw
his guilty plea. His memories had been coerced. He had not distinguished real
memories from a kind of fantasy. His plea was rejected. He is serving a twenty-year
sentence. If it was the sixteenth century instead of the twentieth, perhaps
the whole family would have been burned at the stake—along with a good
fraction of the leading citizens of Olympia, Washington.
The existence of a highly skeptical FBI report on the general subject of satanic
abuse (Kenneth V. Lanning, "Investigator's Guide to Allegations of 'Ritual'
Child Abuse," January 1992) is widely ignored by enthusiasts. Likewise,
a 1994 study by the British Department of Health into claims of satanic abuse
there concluded that, of 84 alleged instances, not one stood up to scrutiny.
What then is all the furor about? The study explains,
The Evangelical Christian campaign against new religious movements has been
a powerful influence encouraging the identification of satanic abuse. Equally,
if not more, important in spreading the idea of satanic abuse in Britain are
the "specialists," American and British. They may have few or even
no qualifications as professionals, but attribute their expertise to "experience
of cases."
Those convinced that devil cults represent a serious danger to our society tend
to be impatient with skeptics. Consider this analysis by Corydon Hammond, Ph.D.,
past President of the American Society for Clinical Hypnosis:
I will suggest to you that these people [skeptics] are either, one, naive
and of limited clinical experience; two, have a kind of naivete that people
have of the Holocaust, or they're just such intellectualizers and skeptics that
they'll doubt everything; or, three, they're cult people themselves. And I can
assure that there are people who are in that position. . . There are people
who are physicians, who are mental health professionals, who are in the cults,
who are raising trans-generational cults. . . I think the research is real clear:
We got three studies, one found 25 percent, one found 20 percent of out-patient
multiples [multiple personality disorders] appear to be cult-abuse victims,
and another on a specialized in-patient unit found 50 percent.
In some of his statements, he seems to believe that satanic Nazi mind control
experiments have been performed by the CIA on tens of thousands of unsuspecting
American citizens. The overarching motive, Hammond believes, is to "create
a satanic order that will rule the world."
In all three classes of "recovered memories," there are specialists
— alien abduction specialists, satanic cult specialists, and specialists
in recalling repressed memories of childhood sexual abuse. As is common in mental
health practice, patients select or are referred to a therapist whose specialty
seems relevant to their complaint. In all three classes, the therapist helps
to draw forth images of events alleged to have occurred long ago (in some cases
from decades past); in all three, therapists are profoundly moved by the unmistakably
genuine agony of their patients; in all three, at least some therapists are
known to ask leading questions—which are virtually orders by authority
figures to suggestible patients insisting that they remember (I almost wrote
"confess"); in all three, there are networks of therapists who trade
client histories and therapeutic methods; in all three, practitioners feel the
necessity of defending their practice against more skeptical colleagues; in
all three, the iatrogenic hypothesis is given short shrift; in all three, the
majority of those who report abuse are women. And in all three classes—with
the exceptions mentioned —there is no physical evidence. So it's hard
not to wonder whether alien abductions might be part of some larger picture.
What could this larger picture be? I posed this question to Dr. Fred H. Frankel,
professor of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School, Chief of Psychiatry at Beth
Israel Hospital in Boston, and a leading expert on hypnosis. His answer:
If alien abductions are a part of a larger picture, what indeed is the larger
picture? I fear to rush in where angels fear to tread; however, the factors
you outline all feed what was described at the turn of the century as "hysteria."
The term, sadly, became so widely used that our contemporaries in their dubious
wisdom . . . not only dropped it, but also lost sight of the phenomena it represented:
high levels of suggestibility, imaginal capacity, sensitivity to contextual
cues and expectations, and the element of contagion . . . Little of all of this
seems to be appreciated by a large number of practicing clinicians.
In exact parallel to regressing people so they supposedly retrieve forgotten
memories of "past lives," Frankel notes that therapists can as readily
progress people under hypnosis so they can "remember" their futures.
This elicits the same emotive intensity as in regression or in Mack's abductee
hypnosis. "These people are not out to deceive the therapist. They deceive
themselves," Frankel says. "They cannot distinguish their confabulations
from their experiences."
(277-278, from chapter “Newton’s Sleep”)
Of course many religions—devoted to reverence, awe, ethics, ritual,
community, family, charity, and political and economic justice— are in
no way challenged, but rather uplifted, by the findings of science.
There is no necessary conflict between science and religion. On one level, they
share similar and consonant roles, and each needs the other. Open and vigorous
debate, even the consecration of doubt, is a Christian tradition going back
to John Milton's Areopagitica (1644). Some of mainstream Christianity and Judaism
embraces and even anticipated at least a portion of the humility, self-criticism,
reasoned debate, and questioning of received wisdom that the best of science
offers. But other sects, sometimes called conservative or fundamentalist—and
today they seem to be in the ascendant, with the mainstream religions almost
inaudible and invisible—have chosen to make a stand on matters subject
to disproof, and thus have something to fear from science.
Modern Roman Catholicism has no quarrel with the Big Bang, with a Universe 15
billion or so years old, with the first living things arising from prebiological
molecules, or with humans evolving from apelike ancestors —although it
has special opinions on "ensoulment." Most mainstream Protestant and
Jewish faiths take the same sturdy position.
In theological discussion with religious leaders, I often ask what their response
would be if a central tenet of their faith were disproved by science. When I
put this question to the current, Fourteenth, Dalai Lama, he unhesitatingly
replied as no conservative or fundamentalist religious leaders do: In such a
case, he said, Tibetan Buddhism would have to change.
Even, I asked, if it's a really central tenet, like (I searched for an example)
reincarnation?
Even then, he answered.
However—he added with a twinkle — it's going to be hard to disprove
reincarnation.
Plainly, the Dalai Lama is right. Religious doctrine that is insulated from
disproof has little reason to worry about the advance of science. The grand
idea, common to many faiths, of a Creator of the Universe is one such doctrine
—difficult alike to demonstrate or to dismiss.
(406-413 from chapter “Science and Witchcraft)
If we do not know what we're capable of, we cannot appreciate measures taken
to protect us from ourselves. I discussed the European witch mania in the alien
abduction context; I hope the reader will forgive me for returning to it in
its political context. It is an aperture to human self-knowledge. If we focus
on what was considered acceptable evidence and a fair trial by the religious
and secular authorities in the fifteenth-to-seventeenth-century witch hunts,
many of the novel and peculiar features of the eighteenth-century U.S. Constitution
and Bill of Rights become clear: including trial by jury, prohibitions against
self-incrimination and against cruel and unusual punishment, freedom of speech
and the press, due process, the balance of powers and the separation of church
and state.
Friedrich von Spee (pronounced "Shpay") was a Jesuit priest who had
the misfortune to hear the confessions of those accused of witchcraft in the
German city of Wiirzburg (see Chapter 7). In 1631, he published Cautio Criminalis
(Precautions for Prosecutors), which exposed the essence of this Church/State
terrorism against the innocent. Before he was punished he died of the plague—as
a parish priest serving the afflicted. Here is an excerpt from his whistle-blowing
book:
1. Incredibly among us Germans, and especially (I am ashamed to say) among Catholics,
are popular superstitions, envy, calum
nies, backbiting, insinuations, and the like, which, being neither punished
nor refuted, stir up suspicion of witchcraft. No longer
God or nature, but witches are responsible for everything.
2. Hence everybody sets up a clamor that the magistrates investigate the witches—whom
only popular gossip has made so numerous.
3. Princes, therefore, bid their judges and counselors bring proceedings against
the witches.
4. The judges hardly know where to start, since they have no evidence [indicia]
or proof.
5. Meanwhile, the people call this delay suspicious; and the princes are persuaded
by some informer or another to this
effect.
6. In Germany, to offend these princes is a serious offense; even clergymen
approve whatever pleases them, not caring by
whom these princes (however well-intentioned) have been instigated.
7. At last, therefore, the judges yield to their wishes and contrive to begin
the trials.
8. Other judges who still delay, afraid to get involved in this ticklish matter,
are sent a special investigator. In this field of investiga
tion, whatever inexperience or arrogance he brings to the job is held zeal for
justice. His zeal for justice is also whetted by hopes of profit, especially
with a poor and greedy agent with a large family, when he receives as stipend
so many dollars per head for each witch burned, besides the incidental fees
and perquisites which investigating agents are allowed to extort at will from
those they summon.
9. If a madman's ravings or some malicious and idle rumor (for no proof of the
scandal is ever needed) points to some helpless old woman, she is the first
to suffer.
10. Yet to avoid the appearance that she is indicted solely on the basis of
rumor, without other proofs, a certain presumption of
guilt is obtained by posing the following dilemma: Either she has led an evil
and improper life, or she has led a good and proper
one. If an evil one, then she should be guilty. On the other hand, if she has
led a good life, this is just as damning; for witches dis
semble and try to appear especially virtuous.
11. Therefore the old woman is put in prison. A new proof is found through a
second dilemma: she is afraid or not afraid. If she
is (hearing of the horrible tortures used against witches), this is sure proof;
for her conscience accuses her. If she does not show
fear (trusting in her innocence), this too is a proof; for witches characteristically
pretend innocence and wear a bold front.
12. Lest these should be the only proofs, the investigator has his snoopers,
often depraved and infamous, ferret out all her past life. This, of course,
cannot be done without turning up some saying
or doing of hers which men so disposed can easily twist or distort into evidence
of witchcraft.
13. Any who have borne her ill now have ample opportunity to bring against her
whatever accusations they please; and everyone
says that the evidence is strong against her.
14. And so she is hurried to the torture, unless, as often happens, she was
tortured on the very day of her arrest.
15. In these trials nobody is allowed a lawyer or any means of fair defense,
for witchcraft is reckoned an exceptional crime [of such enormity that all rules
of legal procedure may be suspended], and whoever ventures to defend the prisoner
falls himself under suspicion of witchcraft—as well as those who dare
to utter a protest in these cases and to urge the judges to exercise prudence,
for they are forthwith labeled supporters of witchcraft. Thus everybody keeps
quiet for fear.
16. So that it may seem that the woman has an opportunity to defend herself,
she is brought into court and the indications of
her guilt are read and examined—if it can be called an examination.
17. Even though she denies these charges and satisfactorily answers every accusation,
no attention is paid and her replies are not
even recorded; all the indictments retain their force and validity, however
perfect her answers to them. She is ordered back into
prison, there to consider more carefully whether she will persist in obstinacy—for,
since she has already denied her guilt, she is obstinate.
18. Next day she is brought out again, and hears a decree of torture—just
as if she had never refuted the charges.
19. Before torture, however, she is searched for amulets: her entire body is
shaved, and even those privy parts indicating the fe
male sex are wantonly examined.
20. What is so shocking about this? Priests are treated the same way.
21. When the woman has been shaved and searched, she is tortured to make her
confess the truth—that is, to declare what
they want, for naturally anything else will not and cannot be the truth.
22. They start with the first degree, i.e., the less severe torture. Although
exceedingly severe, it is light compared to those tortures which follow. Wherefore
if she confesses, they say the woman has confessed without torture!
23. Now, what prince can doubt her guilt when he is told she has confessed voluntarily,
without torture?
24. She is therefore put to death without scruple. But she would have been executed
even if she had not confessed; for when once the torture has begun, the die
is already cast; she cannot escape, she has perforce to die.
25. The result is the same whether she confesses or not. If she confesses, her
guilt is clear: she is executed. All recantation is in
vain. If she does not confess, the torture is repeated—twice, thrice,
four times. In exceptional crimes, the torture is not limited in duration, severity,
or frequency.
26. If, during the torture, the old woman contorts her features with pain, they
say she is laughing; if she loses consciousness, she
is sleeping or has bewitched herself into taciturnity. And if she is taciturn,
she deserves to be burned alive, as lately has been done to some who, though
several times tortured, would not say what the investigators wanted.
27. And even confessors and clergymen agree that she died obstinate and impenitent;
that she would not be converted or desert
her incubus, but kept faith with him.
28. If, however, she dies under so much torture, they say the devil broke her
neck.
29. Wherefore the corpse is buried underneath the gallows.
30. On the other hand, if she does not die under torture, and if some exceptionally
scrupulous judge hesitates to torture her fur
ther without fresh proofs or to burn her without her confession, she is kept
in prison and more harshly chained, there to rot until
she yields, even if it take a whole year.
31. She can never clear herself. The investigating committee would feel disgraced
if it acquitted a woman; once arrested and in
chains, she has to be guilty, by fair means or foul.
32. Meanwhile, ignorant and headstrong priests harass the wretched creature
so that, whether truly or not, she will confess
herself guilty; unless she does so, they say, she cannot be saved or partake
of the sacraments.
33. More understanding or learned priests cannot visit her in prison lest they
counsel her or inform the princes what goes on.
Nothing is more dreaded than that something be brought to light to prove the
innocence of the accused. Persons who try to do soare labeled troublemakers.
34. While she is kept in prison and tortured, the judges invent clever devices
to build up new proofs of guilt to convict her to her
face, so that, when reviewing the trial, some university faculty can confirm
her burning alive.
35. Some judges, to appear ultrascrupulous, have the woman exorcized, transferred
elsewhere, and tortured all over again, to
break her taciturnity; if she maintains silence, then at last they can burn
her. Now, in Heaven's name, I would like to know, since she who confesses and
she who does not both perish alike, how can anybody, no matter how innocent,
escape? O unhappy woman, why have you rashly hoped? Why did you not, on first
entering prison, admit whatever they wanted? Why, foolish and crazy woman, did
you wish to die so many times when you might have died but once? Follow my counsel,
and, before undergoing all these pains, say you are guilty and die. You will
not escape, for this were a catastrophic disgrace to the zeal of Germany.
36. When, under stress of pain, the witch has confessed, her plight is indescribable.
Not only cannot she escape herself, but
she is also compelled to accuse others whom she does not know, whose names are
frequently put into her mouth by the investigators or suggested by the executioner,
or of whom she has heard as suspected or accused. These in turn are forced to
accuse others, and these still others, and so it goes on: who can help seeing
that it
must go on and on?
37. The judges must either suspend these trials (and so impute their validity)
or else burn their own folk, themselves, and every
body else; for all sooner or later are falsely accused and, if tortured, all
are proved guilty.
38. Thus eventually those who at first clamored most loudly to feed the flames
are themselves involved, for they rashly failed to
see that their turn too would come. Thus Heaven justly punishes those who with
their pestilent tongues created so many witches
and sent so many innocent to the stake...
Von Spec is not explicit about the sickening methods of torture employed. Here
is an excerpt from an invaluable compilation, The Encyclopedia of Witchcraft
and Demonology, by Rossell Hope Robbins (1959):
One might glance at some of the special tortures at Bamberg, for example,
such as the forcible feeding of the accused on herrings cooked in salt, followed
by denial of water—a sophisticated method which went side by side with
immersion of the accused in baths of scalding water to which lime had been added.
Other ways with witches included the wooden horse, various kinds of racks, the
heated iron chair, leg vises [Spanish boots], and large boots of leather or
metal into which (with the feet in them, of course) was poured boiling water
or molten lead. In the water torture, the question de I'eau, water was poured
down the throat of the accused, along with a soft cloth to cause choking. The
cloth was pulled out quickly so that the entrails would be torn. The thumb-screws
[gresillons] were a vise designed to compress the thumbs or the big toes to
the root of the nails, so that the crushing of the digit would cause excruciating
pain.
In addition, and more routinely applied, were the strappado and squas-sation
and still more ghastly tortures that I will avoid describing. After torture,
and with the instruments of torture in plain view, the victim was asked to sign
a statement. This was then described as a "free confession," voluntarily
admitted to.
At great personal risk, von Spee protested the witch mania. So did a few others,
mainly Catholic and Protestant clergy who had witnessed these crimes at first
hand—including Gianfrancesco Ponzinibio in Italy, Cornelius Loos in Germany,
and Reginald Scot in Britain in the sixteenth century; as well as Johann Mayfurth
["Listen, you money-hungry judges and bloodthirsty prosecutors, the apparitions
of the Devil are all lies"] in Germany and Alonzo Salazar de Frias in Spain
in the seventeenth century. Along with von Spee and the Quakers generally, they
are heroes of our species. Why are they not better known?
In A Candle in the Dark (1656), Thomas Ady addressed a key question:
Some again will object and say, If Witches cannot kill, and do many strange
things by Witchcraft, why have many confessed that they have done such Murthers,
and other strange matters, whereof they have been accused?
To this I answer, If Adam and Eve in their innocency were so easily overcome,
and tempted to sin, how much more may poor Creatures now after the Fall, by
perswasions, promises, and threat-enings, by keeping from sleep, and continual
torture, be brought to confess that which is false and impossible, and contrary
to the faith of a Christian to believe?
It was not until the eighteenth century that the possibility of hallucination
as a component in the persecution of witches was seriously entertained; Bishop
Francis Hutchinson, in his Historical Essay Concerning Witchcraft (1718), wrote
Many a man hath verily believed he hath seen a spirit externally before
him, when it hath been only an internal image dancing in his own brain.
Because of the courage of these opponents of the witch mania, its extension
to the privileged classes, the danger it posed to the growing institution of
capitalism, and especially the spread of the ideas of the European Enlightenment,
witch burnings eventually disappeared. The last execution for witchcraft in
Holland, cradle of the Enlightenment, was in 1610; in England, 1684; America,
1692; France, 1745; Germany, 1775; and Poland, 1793. In Italy, the Inquisition
was condemning people to death until the end of the eighteenth century, and
inquisitorial torture was not abolished in the Catholic Church until 1816. The
last bastion of support for the reality of witchcraft and the necessity of punishment
has been the Christian churches.
The witch mania is shameful. How could we do it? How could we be so ignorant
about ourselves and our weaknesses? How could it have happened in the most "advanced,"
the most "civilized" nations then on Earth? Why was it resolutely
supported by conservatives, monarchists, and religious fundamentalists? Why
opposed by liberals, Quakers and followers of the Enlightenment? If we're absolutely
sure that our beliefs are right, and those of others wrong; that we are motivated
by good, and others by evil; that the King of the Universe speaks to us, and
not to adherents of very different faiths; that it is wicked to challenge conventional
doctrines or to ask searching questions; that our main job is to believe and
obey—then the witch mania will recur in its infinite variations down to
the time of the last man. Note Friedrich von Spec's very first point, and the
implication that improved public understanding of superstition and skepticism
might have helped to short-circuit the whole train of causality. If we fail
to understand how it worked in the last round, we will not recognize it as it
emerges in the next.
(220, introductory quote to chapter “Obsessed with Reality”)
A shipowner was about to send to sea an emigrant ship. He knew that she was
old, and not overwell built at the first; that she had seen many seas and climes,
and often had needed repairs. Doubts had been suggested to him that possibly
she was not seaworthy. These doubts preyed upon his mind, and made him unhappy;
he thought that perhaps he ought to have her thoroughly overhauled and refitted,
even though this should put him to great expense. Before the ship sailed, however,
he succeeded in overcoming these melancholy reflections. He said to himself
that she had gone safely through so many voyages and weathered so many storms,
that it was idle to suppose that she would not come safely home from this trip
also. He would put his trust in Providence, which could hardly fail to protect
all these unhappy families that were leaving their fatherland to seek for better
times elsewhere. He would dismiss from his mind all ungenerous suspicions about
the honesty of builders and contractors. In such ways he acquired a sincere
and comfortable conviction that his vessel was thoroughly safe and seaworthy;
he watched her departure with a light heart, and benevolent wishes for the success
of the exiles in their strange new home that was to be; and he got his insurance
money when she went down in mid-ocean and told no tales.
What shall we say of him? Surely this, that he was verily guilty of the death
of those men. It is admitted that he did sincerely believe in the soundness
of his ship; but the sincerity of his conviction can in nowise help him, because
he had no right to believe on such evidence as was before him. He had acquired
his belief not by honestly earning it in patient investigation, but by stifling
his doubts.
Let us alter the case a little, and suppose that the ship was not unsound after
all; that she made her voyage safely, and many others after it. Will that diminish
the guilt of her owner? Not one jot. When an action is once done, it is right
or wrong for ever; no accidental failure of its good or evil fruits can possibly
alter that. The man would not have been innocent, he would only have been not
found out. The question of right or wrong has to do with the origin of his belief,
not the matter of it; not what it was, but how he got it; not whether it turned
out to be true or false, but whether he had a right to believe on such evidence
as was before him.
WILLIAM K. CLIFFORD,
The Ethics of Belief
(1874)
(RF - full text available at Infidel's
site)
After familiarizing yourself with the ethics of belief, you might appreciate
this case:
"June 1941 is often cited as
a classic example of a leader ignoring evidence of an opponent's capability
to attack because he doubted the intention to attack. Undoubtedly,
Stalin was guilty of wishful thinkful thinking, of hoping to delay war for at
least another yearin order to complete the reorganization of his armed forces."
(Glantz Barbarossa 28)
(255 from chapter “Antiscience”)
The claim is also sometimes made that science is as arbitrary or irrantional
as all other claims to knowledge, or that reason itself is an illusion. The
American revolutionary Ethan Allen – leader of the Green Mountain Boys
in the capture of Fort Ticonderoga – had some words on this subject:
Those who invalidate reason ought seriously to consider whether they argue
against reason with or without reason; if with reason, then they establish the
principle that they are laboring to dethrone: but if they argue without reason
(which, in order to be consistent with themselves they must do), they are out
of reach of rational conviction, nor do they deserve a rational argument.
(323-329 from chapter “No Such Thing as a Dumb Question”)
"It's Official," reads one newspaper headline: "We Stink in Science."
In tests of average ly-year-olds in many world regions, the U.S. ranked dead
last in algebra. On identical tests, the U.S. kids averaged 43% and their Japanese
counterparts 78%. In my book, 78% is pretty good —it corresponds to a
C+, or maybe even a B-; 43% is an F. In a chemistry
old. The clearest evidence of our evolution can be found in our genes. But evolution
is still being fought, ironically by those whose own DNA proclaims it—in
the schools, in the courts, in textbook publishing houses, and on the question
of just how much pain we can inflict on other animals without crossing some
ethical threshold.
During the Great Depression, teachers enjoyed job security, good salaries, respectability.
Teaching was an admired profession, partly because learning was widely recognized
as the road out of poverty. Little of that is true today. And so science (and
other) teaching is too often incompetently or uninspiringly done, its practitioners,
astonishingly, having little or no training in their subjects, impatient with
the method and in a hurry to get to the findings of science—and sometimes
themselves unable to distinguish science from pseudoscience. Those who do have
the training often get higher-paying jobs elsewhere.
Children need hands-on experience with the experimental method rather than just
reading about science in a book. We can be told about oxidation of wax as the
explanation of the candle flame. But we have a much more vivid sense of what's
going on if we witness the candle burning briefly in a bell jar until the carbon
dioxide produced by the burning surrounds the wick, blocks access to oxygen,
and the flame flickers and dies. We can be taught about mitochondria in cells,
how they mediate the oxidation of food like the flame burning the wax, but it's
another thing altogether to see them under the microscope. We may be told that
oxygen is necessary for the life of some organisms and not others. But we begin
to really understand when we test the proposition in a bell jar fully depleted
of oxygen. What does oxygen do for us? Why do we die without it? Where does
the oxygen in the air come from? How secure is the supply?
Experiment and the scientific method can be taught in many matters other than
science. Daniel Kunitz is a friend of mine from college. He's spent his life
as an innovative junior and senior high school social sciences teacher. Want
the students to understand the Constitution of the United States? You could
have them read it, Article by Article, and then discuss it in class —
but, sadly, this will put most of them to sleep. Or you could try the Kunitz
method: You forbid the students to read the Constitution. Instead, you assign
them, two for each state, to attend a Constitutional Convention. You brief each
of the thirteen teams in detail on the particular interests of their state and
region. The South Carolina delegation, say, would be told of the primacy of
cotton, the necessity and morality of the slave trade, the danger posed by the
industrial North, and so on. The thirteen delegations assemble, and with a little
faculty guidance, but mainly on their own, over some weeks write a constitution.
Then they read the real Constitution. The students have reserved war-making
powers to the President. The delegates of 1787 assigned them to Congress. Why?
The students have freed the slaves. The original Constitutional Convention did
not. Why? This takes more preparation by the teachers and more work by the students,
but the experience is unforgettable. It's hard not to think that the nations
of the Earth would be in better shape if every citizen went through a comparable
experience.
We need more money for teachers' training and salaries, and for laboratories.
But all across America, school-bond issues are regularly voted down. No one
suggests that property taxes be used to provide for the military budget, or
for agriculture subsidies, or for cleaning up toxic wastes. Why just education?
Why not support it from general taxes on the local and state levels? What about
a special education tax for those industries with special needs for technically
trained workers?
American schoolchildren don't do enough schoolwork. There are 180 days in the
standard school year in the United States, as compared with 220 in South Korea,
about 230 in Germany, and 243 in Japan. Children in some of these countries
go to school on Saturday. The average American high school student spends 3.5
hours a week on homework. The total time devoted to studies, in and out of the
classroom, is about 20 hours a week. Japanese fifth-graders average 33 hours
a week. Japan, with half the population of the United States, produces twice
as many scientists and engineers with advanced degrees every year.
During four years of high school, American students spend less than 1,500 hours
on such subjects as mathematics, science, and history. Japanese, French, and
German students spend more than twice as much time. A 1994 report commissioned
by the U.S. Department of Education notes:
The traditional school day must now fit in a whole set of requirements for
what has been called the "new work of the schools"—education
about personal safety, consumer affairs, AIDS, conservation and energy, family
life and driver's training.
So, because of the deficiencies of the society and the inadequacies of education
in the home, only about three hours a day are spent in high school on the core
academic subjects.
There's a widely held perception that science is "too hard" for ordinary
people. We can see this reflected in the statistic that only around 10 percent
of American high school students ever opt for a course in physics. What makes
science suddenly "too hard"? Why isn't it too hard for the citizens
of all those other countries that are outperforming the United States? What
has happened to the American genius for science, technical innovation, and hard
work? Americans once took enormous pride in their inventors, who pioneered the
telegraph, telephone, electric light, phonograph, automobile, and airplane.
Except for computers, all that seems a thing of the past. Where did all that
"Yankee ingenuity" go?
Most American children aren't stupid. Part of the reason they don't study hard
is that they receive few tangible benefits when they do. Competency (that is,
actually knowing the stuff) in verbal skills, mathematics, science, and history
these days doesn't increase earnings for average young men in their first eight
years out of high school —many of whom take service rather than industrial
jobs.
In the productive sectors of the economy, though, the story is often different.
There are furniture factories, for example, in danger of going out of business
—not because there are no customers, but because so few entry-level workers
can do simple arithmetic. A major electronics company reports that 80% of its
job applicants can't pass a fifth-grade mathematics test. The United States
already is losing some $40 billion a year (mainly in lost productivity and the
cost of remedial education) because workers, to too great a degree, can't read,
write, count, or think.
In a survey by the U.S. National Science Board of 139 high-technology companies
in the United States, the chief causes of the research and development decline
attributable to national policy were (i) lack of a long-term strategy for dealing
with the problem; (2) too little attention paid to the training of future scientists
and engineers; (3) too much investment in "defense," and not enough
in civilian research and development; and (4) too little attention paid to pre-college
education. Ignorance feeds on ignorance. Science phobia is contagious.
Those in America with the most favorable view of science tend to be young, well-to-do,
college-educated white males. But three-quarters of new American workers in
the next decade will be women, non-whites, and immigrants. Failing to rouse
their enthusiasm—to say nothing of discriminating against them —
isn't only unjust, it's also stupid and self-defeating. It deprives the economy
of desperately needed skilled workers.
African-American and Hispanic students are doing significantly better in standardized
science tests now than in the late 1960’s, but they're the only ones who
are. The average math gap between white and black U.S. high school graduates
is still huge —two to three grade levels; but the gap between white U.S.
high school graduates and those in, say, Japan, Canada, Great Britain, or Finland
is more than twice as large (with the U.S. students behind). If you're poorly
motivated and poorly educated, you won't know much—no mystery there. Suburban
African-Americans with college-educated parents do just as well in college as
suburban whites with college-educated parents. According to some statistics,
enrolling a poor child in a Head Start program doubles his or her chances to
be employed later in life; one who completes an Upward Bound program is four
times as likely to get a college education. If we're serious, we know what to
do.
What about college and university? There are obvious steps to take: improved
status based on teaching success, and promotions of teachers based on the performance
of their students in standardized, double-blind tests; salaries for teachers
that approach what they could get in industry; more scholarships, fellowships,
and laboratory equipment; imaginative, inspiring curricula and textbooks in
which the leading faculty members play a major role; laboratory courses required
of everyone to graduate; and special attention paid to those traditionally steered
away from science. We should also encourage the best academic scientists to
spend more time on public education—textbooks, lectures, newspaper and
magazine articles, TV appearances. And a mandatory freshman or sophomore course
in skeptical thinking and the methods of science might be worth trying.