Probability
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Question
Three pairs color balls and Each two balls put into a box
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Q01 |
- Find probability for all 3 boxes having same color
Q02 |
- Find probability for only one box having same color
Q03 |
- Find probability for all 3 boxes having different color
Q04 |
- 3 pairs Color balls : Proposed formula
Q05 |
- 3 pairs Color balls : Verify by sample space
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Q01. Find probability for all 3 boxes having same color
Question
- 2 red, 2 green and 2 blue balls
- Pick 2 balls and put into 3 boxes
- Find probability for same color in each box
Solution
- Total sample space n(S) = C(6,2)*C(4,2)*C(2,2) = (15*6*1) = 90
- Sample space in box 1 : 6 balls take 2
- n(S) = C(6,2) = 15
- n(same 1) = 3
- n(diff 1) = 12
- Sample space in box 2 : 4 balls take 2 with balls in box 1 same color
- n(S) = C(4,2) = 6
- n(same 2) = 2
- n(diff 2) = 4
- Sample space in box 2 : 4 balls take 2 with balls in box 1 diff color
- n(S) = C(4,2) = 6
- n(same 3) = 1
- n(diff 3) = 5
- Hence sample space for all same
- Box 1 must be same and box 2 must be same
- Hence sample space = n(all) = n(same 1)*n(same 2) = 3*2 = 6
- Hence probability p = n(all same)/n(S) = 6/90 = 1/15
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Q02. Find probability for only one box having same color
Question
- 2 red, 2 green and 2 blue balls
- Pick 2 balls and put into 3 boxes
- Find probability for same color in only one box
Solution
- Total sample space n(S) = C(6,2)*C(4,2)*C(2,2) = (15*6*1) = 90
- Sample space in box 1 : 6 balls take 2
- n(S) = C(6,2) = 15
- n(same 1) = 3
- n(diff 1) = 12
- Sample space in box 2 : 4 balls take 2 with balls in box 1 same color
- n(S) = C(4,2) = 6
- n(same 2) = 2
- n(diff 2) = 4
- Sample space in box 2 : 4 balls take 2 with balls in box 1 diff color
- n(S) = C(4,2) = 6
- n(same 3) = 1
- n(diff 3) = 5
- Sample space for one same
- Box 1 same and box 2 diff
- Box 1 diff and box 2 same
- n(1) = n(box 1, box 2)
- n(1) = n(same 1)*n(diff 2) + n(diff 1)*n(same 3)
- n(1) = 3*4 + 12*1 = 24
- Hence probability p = n(1)/n(S) = 24/90 = 4/15
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Q03. Find probability for all 3 boxes having different color
Question
- 2 red, 2 green and 2 blue balls
- Pick 2 balls and put into 3 boxes
- Find probability for diff color in each box
Solution
- Total sample space n(S) = C(6,2)*C(4,2)*C(2,2) = (15*6*1) = 90
- Sample space in box 1 : 6 balls take 2
- n(S) = C(6,2) = 15
- n(same 1) = 3
- n(diff 1) = 12
- Sample space in box 2 : 4 balls take 2 with balls in box 1 same color
- n(S) = C(4,2) = 6
- n(same 2) = 2
- n(diff 2) = 4
- Sample space in box 2 : 4 balls take 2 with balls in box 1 diff color
- n(S) = C(4,2) = 6
- n(same 3) = 1
- n(diff 3) = 5
- Sample space in box 3 : 2 balls take 2 with balls in box 1 and box 2 diff color
- n(S) = C(2,2) = 1
- n(same 3) = 1
- n(diff 3) = 5
- Sample space for all diff color in each box
- Box 1 has 12 diff sample spaces
- Box 2 and box 3 have 2 same and 4 diff sample spaces
- n(0) = n(box 1, box 2, box 3)
- n(0) = 12*4 = 48
- Hence probability p = n(0)/n(S) = 48/90 = 48/15
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Q04. 3 pairs Color balls : Proposed formula
Question
- 2 red, 2 green and 2 blue balls
- Pick 2 balls and put into 3 boxes
- Find probability for diff color in each box
Using formula :
- Sample space n(S) = C(6,2)*C(4,2)*C(2,2)/(3*2*1) = (15*6*1)/(3*2*1) = 15
- Sample for all diff color in each box
- n(0) = n(S) - 3*C(4,2)*C(2,2)/(2*1) + 3*C(2,2)/1 - 1
- n(0) = 15 - 3*3 + 3*1 - 1 = 8
- Hence p = n(0)/n(S) = 8/15
- This agrees with the answer of sample structure in question 5
Discussion
- Coefficients 1, -3, +3 and -1 are similar as binomial coeffcients
- Sample space of box 1 : C(6,2)/3 = 1 same and 4 diff
- Sample space of box 2 : C(4,2)/2 = 1 same and 2 diff
- Sample space of box 3 : C(2,2)/1 = 1 same or 1 diff
- Hence total sample space = n(S) = C(6,2)*C(4,2)*C(2,2)/(3*2*1)
- C(4,2)*C(2,2)/(2*1) = 1 same and 2 diff color samples
- Box 1, 2, 3 give C(3,1) = 3
- Remove 1 same color box : C(4,2)*C(2,2)/(2*1)
- 1 same in box 1 and 2 diff in box 2
- 1 same in box 1 and 1 same in box 2
- Hence 2nd term : remove 3 same and 6 diff
- Hence 3rd term : we put 3 same back
- 4th term : we remove 3 boxes all same color
- All box different color = 15 - 3*C(4,2)*C(2,2)/(2*1) + 3*C(2,2)/1 - 1
- = 15 - 3*3 + 3 - 1 = 8
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Q05. 3 pairs Color balls : Sample structure
Sample spaces
- Sample spaces n(S) = C(6,2)*C(4,2)*C(2,2) = 90
- Six balls A, A, B, B, C, C and pick 2 and put into 1st box
- (A,A) (A,B) (A,B) (A,C) (A,C)
- (A,B) (A,B) (A,C) (A,C)
- (B,B) (B,C) (B,C)
- (B,C) (B,C)
- (C,C)
- Total 3 same color box samples : (A,A), (B,B), (C,C)
- Total 12 three different color boxes samples
Box 1 same color (A,A) combine with other 4 balls B,B,C,C
- Box 1 same coloe (A,A)
- Box 01 Box 02 Box 03
- (A,A) (B,B) (C,C) : box 1, box 2, box 3 are all same color boxes
- (A,A) (B,C) (B,C) : box 1 is same color box
- (A,A) (B,C) (B,C) : box 1 is same color box
- (A,A) (B,C) (B,C) : box 1 is same color box
- (A,A) (B,C) (B,C) : box 1 is same color box
- (A,A) (C,C) (B,B) : box 1, box 2, box 3 are all same color boxes
- Hence (A,A) combine with 4 different color samples 2 same color samples
- One same color (A,A) in 1st box = 4
- Box 1 same color (B,B) combine with other 4 balls A,A,C,C
- All same color (B,B) in 1st box = 2
- One same color (B,B) in 1st box = 4
- Box 1 same color (C,C) combine with other 4 balls A,A,B,B
- All same color (C,C) in 1st box = 2
- One same color (C,C) in 1st box = 4
- Hence all boxes same color samples = 3*2 = 6
- Hence box 1 same and box 2and 3 are diff color samples = 3*4 = 12
- Different color box samples = none
Box 1 different color (A,B) combine with other 4 balls A,B,C,C
- Box 1 Box 2 Box 3
- (A,B) (A,B) (C,C)
- (A,B) (A,C) (B,C)
- (A,B) (A,C) (A,C)
- (A,B) (B,C) (B,C)
- (A,B) (B,C) (B,C)
- (A,B) (C,C) (A,B)
- Box 1 is diff color and box 2 has 1 same 5 diff color samples
- Box 1 is diff color and box 2 has 1 same 5 diff color samples
- Hence box 1 diff color with box 2 or box 1 same color = 12*2 = 24
- Hence one same color box = 24
- Hence all different color box samples = 12*4 = 48
- All box different color : P = 48/90 = 8/15
- This agrees with the proposed formula with coeff 1, -3, +3, -1 in Q4
Summary
- all same color samples = 3*2*1 = 6
- One same color samples = 12 + 24 = 36
- Two same color samples = none
- all diff color samples = 48
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